UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick Ole Miss
  
Ole Miss              
W-L: (13- 2) PR = 89.5051

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Georgia St SUN ( 1-11, 59.4) 63- 7 906 A Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 30-23 913 H Arkansas SEC ( 2-10, 78.1) 41-35 920 H Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 45-10 927 H LSU SEC ( 7- 6, 82.8) 24-19 1011 H Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 24-21 1018 A Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 35-43 1025 A Oklahoma SEC (10- 3, 87.3) 34-26 1101 H So Carolina SEC ( 4- 8, 77.4) 30-14 1108 H The Citadel 49- 0 1115 H Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 34-24 1128 A Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 38-19 1220 N Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 41-10 101 N Georgia SEC (12- 2, 92.2) 39-34 108 N Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 27-31

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 H Georgia St             63- 7      56    35           0.00
   906 A Kentucky               30-23       7     6           1.47
   913 H Arkansas               41-35       6    17    ---   -8.00
   920 H Tulane                 45-10      35    13           1.25
   927 H LSU                    24-19       5    12    ---   -7.00
  1011 H Wash St                24-21       3    13    ---   -9.75
  1018 A Georgia                35-43      -8    -8          -0.09
  1025 A Oklahoma               34-26       8    -3    +++   11.10
  1101 H So Carolina            30-14      16    17           0.00
  1115 H Florida                34-24      10    16    --    -4.00
  1128 A Miss St                38-19      19     7    +++    6.56
  1220 N Tulane                 41-10      31     7    +++    6.51
   101 N Georgia                39-34       5    -3    +++    7.65
   108 N Miami                  27-31      -4    -3          -1.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   913 H Arkansas               41-35       6    17    ---   -8.00
   927 H LSU                    24-19       5    12    ---   -7.00
  1011 H Wash St                24-21       3    13    ---   -9.75
  1115 H Florida                34-24      10    16    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1025 A Oklahoma               34-26       8    -3    +++   11.10
  1128 A Miss St                38-19      19     7    +++    6.56
  1220 N Tulane                 41-10      31     7    +++    6.51
   101 N Georgia                39-34       5    -3    +++    7.65

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Georgia St      ( 1-11, 59.4)    63- 7      -40.50      10.71      -5.26         0.91             9.94
   3 A Kentucky        ( 5- 7, 78.7)    30-23      -21.19      30.03       5.26         0.91            64.28
   3 H Arkansas        ( 2-10, 78.1)    41-35      -21.84      29.38      -5.26         0.91            43.94
   3 H Tulane          (11- 3, 82.0)    45-10      -17.89      33.33      -5.26         0.91            51.13
   3 H LSU             ( 7- 6, 82.8)    24-19      -17.13      34.09      -5.26         0.91            52.51
   3 H Wash St         ( 7- 6, 82.0)    24-21      -17.88      33.34      -5.26         0.91            51.14
   3 A Georgia         (12- 2, 92.2)    35-43       -7.75      43.47       5.26         0.91            -1.13
   3 A Oklahoma        (10- 3, 87.3)    34-26      -12.56      38.66       5.26         0.91            80.00
   3 H So Carolina     ( 4- 8, 77.4)    30-14      -22.50      28.72      -5.26         0.91            42.74
   3 H Florida         ( 4- 8, 79.1)    34-24      -20.81      30.41      -5.26         0.91            45.81
   3 A Miss St         ( 5- 8, 76.8)    38-19      -23.10      28.12       5.26         0.91            60.80
   3 N Tulane          (11- 3, 82.0)    41-10      -17.89      33.33      -0.00         0.91            60.71
   3 N Georgia         (12- 2, 92.2)    39-34       -7.75      43.47      -0.00         0.91            79.18
   3 N Miami           (12- 3, 92.2)    27-31       -7.71      43.51      -0.00         0.91            -3.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       637.54

winning pts = 642.1798 losing points = -4.6422

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------